Big Win

Today closes with huge news out of several states across the country, as Barack Obama defeated Hillary Clinton two-to-one in all three states holding Democratic nomination contests today. Obama’s momentum looks as though it will carry him through the big-win states next week (including my own dear Maryland) and on to the DNC in Denver in August. True, Obama has always done better in caucus states (which perhaps suggests to a smart analyst that he is the stronger candidate, with a more devoted following and more sound logical arguments) than in primary states, but the tide has absolutely turned for the erstwhile runner-up. With superdelegates changing their minds and political pressure on many of them to back the candidate with the most popular support (and thus succeed in not creating division in the Democratic party) I am confident that the huge groundswell of support may actually push the Senator from Illinois over the top.

Across the fence, the GOP looks as though it will continue to splinter itself down incredibly stark ideological lines. Huckabee, who I must admit I thought would have been knocked out of the race a month ago, is showing strong support among the “anyone but McCain” crowd. If it ends up coming down to the wire with the Republicans, the in-fighting and public backstabbing will rise to the extreme. Arch-conservatives cannot stand McCain’s liberal stance on a majority of issues, nor can they stand his vague position on just about any topic that matters. The Flip-Flopper needs to get his story straight before his handlers let him out on stage. I must also admit that I thought his campaign was over a year ago, but I was wrong there too.

I only pray I’m not wrong where it counts.

This entry was posted on Sun, 10 Feb 2008 07:33:00 GMT and Posted in . You can follow any any response to this entry through the Atom feed. You can leave a comments, Or a trackback from your own site.


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    danvk about 11 hours later:

    This primary season has made me realize the value of winner-take-all states. Despite having all the momentum in the world, Obama would need 75%-type victories to avoid a convention decided by superdelegates. Contrast that to the republican side where McCain is almost mathematically guaranteed to win at this point, no strings attached.

    I hope BO starts peeling away more superdelegates. The two-delegate swing from a change is, literally, as significant as a win in some states.

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